Data Dump: GOTY 2021 Staff & Guests Breakdown

Avatar image for marino
Marino

8626

Forum Posts

1366691

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 92

User Lists: 102

Edited By Marino  Staff
Hey, not everything in 2021 was bad. #BattleATL
Hey, not everything in 2021 was bad. #BattleATL

Ah shit, here we go again. The site went through some major changes in 2021, but Game of the Year stops for no one. This is the 14th annual proceedings, and, if you've been here for all of them, that means you're old now. Welcome to the club! For many of those years, I have been compiling stats based on the GOTY data. I like looking at numbers, and it seems like a lot of y'all do too. Back in the good ol' days, I used to post monthly Data Dumps, achievement tracking, and annual reviews data, but those haven't been possible for quite some time. And with E3 potentially being dead, Game of the Year is now the only real opportunity I have to put some spreadsheets together these days.

So, what are we actually doing here? Well, what if we good ol' mathematics to determine the site's GOTY rather than hours and hours of arguing? Sure, the deliberations are fun, but if we deployed a tactical spreadsheet, how different would the final results be? As I've said before, I don't necessarily believe this is how it should be done or the best way to do it, but it's just fun to compare the cold, hard stats to what happened on the stream.

Rules

First off, some ground rules. Since not everyone decides to do a nice and tidy one through ten list, I had to get a little creative with how to tally everything.

  • A "regular" ranked list results in a total of 55 points available. (1 point for 10th, 10 points for 1st, etc.)
  • No list can earn more than 55 points.
  • No vote can be worth more than 10 points.
  • If a person gave 10 games but did not rank them, each game gets 5.5 points.
  • If a person gave less than 10 and did not rank them, they still only get 5.5 each.
  • If a person gave less than 10 and did rank them, they forfeited their points available for 10th, 9th, etc. (i.e. a list of 8 ranked is a total of 52 points)
  • If a person doesn't rank their list, but specifically says the last game they talk about is their GOTY, then that game gets 10 points and the rest get 5.
  • If someone gave a spot a tie between two games, I split the allotted points. For example, if someone put two games in their 1st place spot (10 points), I gave each game 9.5 points. If you can't make up your mind, your choices take the hit. Sorry.

Staff's Top 26

No Caption Provided

Jess threw me a curveball this year by putting Devotion on the list. Technically, it's a 2019 game, but it did get an official release in 2021. So, here's what I decided to do. I gave both Devotion and Psychonauts 2 9.5 points and moved everything else down a slot. To keep her list at 55 total points, this means that she forfeits the 1 point for New Pokémon Snap at #10. If you don't agree with this assessment, that's fine. But, no one else voted for New Pokémon Snap anyway. And it doesn't affect the #1 spot, so let's move on!

The Realest Top 10

No Caption Provided

Now that the deliberations are final. Let's see how the math stacks up to what happened on stream. Here is the official Top 10. The numbers in parentheses are where it placed based on the math.

  1. Chicory: A Colorful Tale (9)
  2. Halo Infinite (4)
  3. Psychonauts 2 (1)
  4. Resident Evil Village (6)
  5. Hitman 3 (15)
  6. Ratchet & Clank: Rift Apart (2)
  7. Monster Hunter Rise (10)
  8. Metroid Dread (5)
  9. Death's Door (16)
  10. Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy (10)

As you can see, eight of the eleven games in The Math List™ made it to the real list. The ones that didn't hang were Inscryption (3), Forza Horizon 5 (7), and Cruelty Squad (8). This makes sense given how previous GOTY debates go. What I mean by that is that the bottom slots on the GOTY list usually end up being someone's hill to die on. A game that maybe only one person supports, but does so with enough passion that it gets on "the site's" list. This year, that was Jason's Monster Hunter Rise and Bakalar's Death's Door. Then we had Jeff's Hitman 3, which garnered support from those who didn't have it on their own list.

We should also acknowledge the raw passion that secured a slot for Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy. Jan came prepared!

Now, there's always one more question we have to ask. That's right. "WHAT ABOUT RORIE?!" I don't include him on the main chart because he wasn't on the stream, and therefore didn't have a chance to make a difference in the results there. But, let's take a look anyway.

No Caption Provided

This year, Rorie's votes would have slightly altered the site's Top 10. If we count Rorie, Halo Infinite moves up from #4 to #2. More importantly, though, Deathloop breaks the tie at #10 and pushes Guardians and Monster Hunter off the list.

Guests' Top 46

Now let's take a look at those guest lists. There's way more data to wade through with these. And since guests have no rules, I have to get a little more creative with the math sometimes.

No Caption Provided

  • 121 different games were voted for by the twenty-nine guests. That's down from 184 games last year and 210 games in 2019.
  • Five games got a 1st place vote with no votes from anyone else: Get in the Car, Loser!, Hollow Knight, No More Heroes III, Slay the Spire, and World of Horror.
  • Final Fantasy XIV: Endwalker had the most first place votes with four and had no other votes at all. As I watched the lists roll in, we didn't have a duplicate #1 pick until the eighteenth list. This is a huge contrast to last year where Hades had 11 first place votes.
  • Metroid Dread had the most overall votes with sixteen. That's 55.2% of the guests.
  • Just fourteen of the twenty-nine guests actually gave a ranked list of ten. That's 48.3%, which is up from 42.2% last year. Thanks!
  • Resident Evil Village was the highest ranked game that got no first place votes.
  • 94 games out of 121 were originally released in North American in 2021. That's 77.7%, which is way up from the 57.6% last year.
  • The oldest game named was Quake (1996).
  • Despite being Letter of the Year, there are no games that start with "J".
  • No, I did not include any tabletop games, anime, books, albums, locations, or TV shows.

That's all for now. Hopefully I'll have another opportunity to share a bunch of stats in 2022. Thanks for checking this out. Now, go play Kena: Bridge of Spirits!

<>
<>
Avatar image for extrwi
extrwi

24

Forum Posts

7

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 0

User Lists: 0

Thanks for crunching these numbers!

I understand Endwalker not getting its proper place on the site list, but seeing how well it scored on the guest lists made me happy.

Avatar image for hassun
hassun

10300

Forum Posts

191

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 0

User Lists: 2

Thank you for always putting in the hard data work, Marino.

Avatar image for heelbill
HeelBill

299

Forum Posts

0

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 0

User Lists: 0

Now that is some advanced analytics!

Avatar image for imunbeatable80
imunbeatable80

801

Forum Posts

0

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 0

User Lists: 0

This is amazing.. you are a hero that we don't deserve.

Avatar image for janman
janman

5373

Forum Posts

274

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 0

User Lists: 0

#5 janman  Staff

i fucking love all these numbers man

Avatar image for ogto
ogto

188

Forum Posts

0

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 0

User Lists: 1

no Great Ace Attorney? saw it on 1 or 2 lists, guess it wasn't enough

Avatar image for marino
Marino

8626

Forum Posts

1366691

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 92

User Lists: 102

#8 Marino  Staff

@ogto said:

no Great Ace Attorney? saw it on 1 or 2 lists, guess it wasn't enough

It had one vote for 6 points.

Avatar image for fram
fram

2132

Forum Posts

5

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 0

User Lists: 4

This is super neat!

Avatar image for mocbucket62
MocBucket62

2689

Forum Posts

1106

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 3

User Lists: 7

Great work here Marino! Love seeing how the math sorts itself out for both staff lists and guest lists!

Avatar image for oakflower
Oakflower

9

Forum Posts

0

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 0

User Lists: 0

Cool thanks!

Avatar image for styx971
styx971

710

Forum Posts

10

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 0

User Lists: 1

damn thats an interesting numbers break down. don't get me wrong we all know goty discussions never pan out as expected by the math but the math definitely in certain points lines up more with what i'd expected would happen going in . either way what a yr. thanks for the stats :)

Avatar image for candivore
Candivore

97

Forum Posts

10

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 0

User Lists: 0

I love the crunch of a big bite of numbers. Fantastic work, thank you!

Avatar image for bisonhero
BisonHero

12795

Forum Posts

625

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 1

User Lists: 2

With a few days distance, I think Loop Hero got done real dirty by recency bias. It came out so early in the year, and barely registered on staff top 10 lists. At least it got recognized a bit more on guest lists.

It’s a really neat, weird blend of genres! I recommend people check it out if they haven’t already.

Avatar image for marino
Marino

8626

Forum Posts

1366691

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 92

User Lists: 102

#15 Marino  Staff

Updated the guest chart and stats to include Rami.

I gave Unpacking 10 points since Rami listed it as the best game and gave 9 points to Inscryption as his "alternative" best game. Then I gave 2 points to everything else he named, which still totaled to 55.

Math!

Avatar image for takashichea
takashichea

569

Forum Posts

43124

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 0

User Lists: 15

Data dumps inspired me to dive into data.

Avatar image for cyrribrae
cyrribrae

276

Forum Posts

0

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 0

User Lists: 0

Haha this is awesome. I like the math lists too! I can get behind both the version with or without Rorie's input. And I'm glad Psychonauts 2 got its true due (twice over) in the only place that really matters: spreadsheets (still waiting for Tim Schafer to make Excel whimsical and thought provoking - I assume this is why Microsoft acquired him).

Avatar image for y2ken
Y2Ken

3308

Forum Posts

82

Wiki Points

0

Followers

Reviews: 2

User Lists: 28

Really enjoy these breakdowns. I do love that Endwalker was GOTY or nothing on the lists - makes sense, it's one of those game that if you're in, you're all the way in (and it continues to deliver), but that initial hurdle is massive and not for everyone.